govandpolУправление и политикаGovernance and Politics2782-70622782-7070MGIMO University10.24833/2782-7062-2022-1-2-59-81govandpol-18Research ArticleCOUNTRY IN FOCUSРазвитие демографической политики в КитаеDevelopment of China’s Demographic PoliciesШидэФ.ShideF.

Шидэ Фэн - аспирант

Shide Feng – PhD Student

872147724@qq.comИнститут Дальнего Востока РАН, МГИМО МИД РоссииРоссияInstitute of Far Eastern Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, MGIMO UniversityRussian Federation202219092022125981Copyright © Шидэ Ф., 20222022Шидэ Ф.Shide F.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.gp-mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/18

В статье анализируется эволюция демографической политики в Китайской народной республике, на основе количественного анализа делается прогноз тенденций развития и предлагаются потенциальные решения. Политика, направленная на сокращение уровня рождаемости, была сначала поддержана на уровне правительства и затем соответствующие изменения были внесены на законодательном уровне. Автор показывает, что при росте населения КНР, уровень рождаемости снижается и заключает, что численность населения будет сокращаться, если не произойдут изменения. Это объясняет коррективы политики со стороны правительства КНР, которое интегрировало демографическую политику в долгосрочную стратегию развития страны.

The paper examines the development of demographic policies throughout the history of the People’s Republic of China, makes predictions for future trends and offers potential solutions based on quantitative analysis. The policies focused on controlling the fertility rate control, with measures first advocated by the government and then made a part of administration regulation, with further changes at legislative level. The author shows that while the Chinese population is growing, but fertility is decreasing and concludes that the population will decrease in the near future unless the situation changes. That explains the adjustments made by the Chinese government which is integrating demographic policies into the country’s long-term strategies.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.